Business approaches to forecast, price, and transport food to cut waste

Food waste functions as an environmental issue as well as an avoidable business expense. According to estimates by the United Nations Environment Programme, households, retailers, and food services discarded 1.05 billion metric tons of food in 2022, which accounts for roughly 19% of the total food accessible to consumers. Companies are unable to tackle the entirety of this surplus single-handedly, yet they possess the power to transform their approach to forecasting, pricing, transporting, preparing, and recovering provisions.

The initiatives below address different points in the supply chain. They are not a ranking: a grocery chain, restaurant, and food manufacturer will need different combinations of tools.

1. Predictive ordering for grocery stores

Grocery buyers must order enough fresh food to avoid empty shelves without buying so much that it spoils. Forecasting systems use sales history, promotions, weather, holidays, and shelf-life data to recommend more precise orders. Afresh, for example, develops ordering software for fresh-food departments.

A practical pilot contrasts waste levels and product stock in comparable locations prior to and following implementation. Decreased spoilage fails to constitute a victory if shoppers consistently encounter bare produce shelves.

2. Prices that fall as expiration approaches

A product may still be safe and appealing even when shoppers are reluctant to pay full price for its remaining shelf life. Dynamic pricing systems, such as those offered by Wasteless, help retailers reduce prices as expiration approaches.

This approach can salvage income that might otherwise vanish, providing shoppers with an incentive to purchase aging inventory initially. Merchants ought to track the volume of marked-down items sold instead of discarded, ensuring concurrently that price cuts do not merely substitute for standard-rate purchases or appropriate nourishment contributions.

3. Marketplaces for surplus prepared food

Restaurants, bakeries, and cafes often cannot predict exactly what will sell each day. Too Good To Go connects businesses with customers willing to buy surplus food at a reduced price, commonly near closing time.

The model provides a business with a way to profit from food it has already prepared. It functions most effectively when the pickup process remains simple and employees can spot excess portions without cooking extra meals specifically for the platform. Establishments ought to monitor genuine portions rescued, rather than merely counting posted listings.

4. Smart measurement in commercial kitchens

Kitchen teams often know that they waste food but not precisely what they waste or why. Systems such as Winnow help staff record discarded ingredients and dishes, then analyze patterns across preparation, service, and leftovers.

That information can prompt practical changes: preparing smaller batches, adjusting buffet quantities, or changing portion sizes. The strongest measure of progress is the weight and cost of waste per meal served, tracked over time. A one-off waste audit can reveal a problem; regular measurement shows whether the remedy works.

5. Business-to-business markets for overlooked produce

Farms can have usable crops with no buyer because the produce is an unusual size or shape, or because an order changes. Full Harvest connects growers with commercial buyers that can use produce that might not meet conventional retail specifications.

A food processor may care more about flavor, quality, and reliable volume than cosmetic uniformity. For this model to work, transport and handling costs must remain reasonable, and buyers still need clear standards for food safety and usable quality.

6. Shelf-life technology for fresh produce

Certain advancements strive to extend the shelf life of fresh produce so it can successfully reach shoppers and be purchased. Apeel creates plant-derived protective layers designed to delay dehydration and other deterioration mechanisms.

Extra shelf life can create flexibility for growers, distributors, and retailers, especially when shipments face delays. Results depend on the crop, handling, and storage conditions, so businesses should test the technology against comparable untreated produce. They should also assess its cost and environmental footprint rather than assuming that a longer shelf life automatically delivers a net benefit.

7. Real-time monitoring of the cold chain

A shipment can become unsellable because of a temperature excursion that nobody discovers until delivery. Monitoring providers such as Tive offer sensors that can report shipment location and conditions during transit.

The innovative step is acting on an alert: a carrier might fix a refrigeration problem, redirect a shipment, or arrange faster unloading. Monitoring alone does not prevent waste. The business case depends on whether timely intervention reduces rejected loads enough to justify the equipment and service costs.

8. Food donation supported by technology

Edible surplus does not always reach people who need it. Retailers and caterers may lack the time to identify a recipient, arrange collection, and document what was donated. Goodr offers technology and logistics services designed to make that process easier.

Effective donation relies on much more than simply pairing a donor with a recipient. Enterprises require secure storage, swift pickup, suitable packaging, and documentation that complies with regional food-safety regulations. Ultimately, benchmarks for success must account for the sustenance successfully delivered and received, rather than focusing solely on provisions made available for giving.

9. Upcycled ingredients from food-production byproducts

Food manufacturing produces materials that may still be nutritious and useful, even when they are no longer needed for the original product. Renewal Mill, for example, has developed ingredients using byproducts such as the pulp left from soy-milk production.

Upcycling can create a new revenue stream while reducing disposal. It is most promising when there is a dependable supply, a viable food-safety process, and real demand for the resulting ingredient. A product is not meaningfully less wasteful if processing and transport costs overwhelm the value recovered.

10. Energy recovery from unconsumed food

Some discarded food cannot safely or practically be sold, donated, or made into another food product. Businesses such as Divert work with retailers to manage unsold food and convert suitable material into renewable energy through anaerobic digestion.

While energy recovery plays a role, it ought to come after measures aimed at waste prevention and keeping edible food within the supply chain. Companies can bolster their initiatives by disclosing distinct metrics for food diverted from disposal, surplus food given away, and resources directed toward energy recovery.

What makes an initiative effective?

The best choice depends on where a business loses food. A restaurant with oversized batches needs different tools from a grocer with poor ordering forecasts or a distributor with temperature-related rejections. Before investing, a business should establish a baseline and track:

  • Quantity: How much food is wasted, by product and cause?
  • Value: What are the purchase, labor, disposal, and lost-sales costs?
  • Destination: How much food is sold, donated, upcycled, or processed after discard?
  • Unintended effects: Does an intervention increase transport, packaging, or unnecessary production?

Innovation matters most when it changes an everyday decision: how much to order, when to lower a price, where to send a shipment, or what to do with safe surplus. The most durable business initiatives treat food as valuable well before it reaches the waste bin.

By Kaiane Ibarra

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