Analyzing Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s chances to recover from his self-made crisis

Volodymyr Zelenskyy—once a symbol of Ukrainian resilience and global wartime leadership—now confronts a serious domestic crisis largely of his own making. With anti-corruption institutions under threat, public demonstrations underway, and mounting international concern, his ability to rebound hinges on restoring institutional trust, honoring democratic norms, and maintaining support amid Russia’s intensifying war.

Since 2019, Zelenskyy’s journey has been defined by two distinct political arcs. Initially elected on promises of ending corruption and reforming entrenched political elites, he faced early disappointment when progress lagged. His popularity dipped dramatically through 2021 alongside stalled reforms and unclear leadership direction. Critics argued he had overpromised and underdelivered.

The Russian invasion of 2022 marked a pivotal moment, during which Zelenskyy emerged as a leader in times of war. By choosing to stay in Kyiv, delivering daily speeches to the public, and skillfully engaging with global media, he became an international symbol, garnering Western backing and fostering national cohesion. This era shaped a fresh political agreement centered around him—a coalition born out of crisis rather than typical political processes.

However, as the cohesion fostered by wartime efforts reinforced his authority, underlying vulnerabilities began to re-emerge beneath the facade of unity. Not long ago, new laws bringing Ukraine’s two primary anti-corruption agencies under governmental oversight sparked the most significant internal unrest since the conflict began. Thousands took to the streets across the country, as EU representatives, Western partners, and even Ukrainian military personnel expressed their concerns.

Under pressure, Zelenskyy reversed course, unveiling new legislation to restore independence to these agencies. Still, his reputation lies wounded. Critics now question whether he veers toward authoritarianism—eroding democratic foundations he pledged to uphold.

First, reaffirming transparent governance. To rebuild credibility, Zelenskyy must follow through on promises to protect NABU and SAPO from political interference. Clear, enforceable reforms endorsed by all stakeholders—including Europe’s institutions—would not erase the misstep but signal renewed accountability.

Second, encouraging the public to participate constructively. Going back to decision-making that involves consultation, alongside evident legislative scrutiny and open public discussions, can start to rebuild trust. Demonstrators throughout Kyiv, Lviv, Odesa, and further afield symbolize a nationwide call to protect the advancements achieved since the Maidan revolution—a call that cannot be disregarded.

Third, balancing the immediate needs of wartime with democratic principles. In periods of conflict, implementing martial law and centralized control might appear essential, yet sustaining such measures over an extended duration challenges their legitimacy. Zelenskyy needs to outline a schedule for reestablishing complete democratic standards—particularly elections—as the military and security landscape develops.

Fourth, achieving real improvements in governance. Scandals of corruption, economic difficulties, and administrative errors have undermined public trust. Zelenskyy needs to advance reforms—ranging from actions against oligarchs to enhancing public service efficiency—to show genuine progress beyond wartime symbolism.

Political analysts suggest that Zelenskyy may still retain enough support to weather the storm—especially compared against opposition figures lacking his wartime stature. Public polling indicates he remains more trusted than most rivals, though not overwhelmingly so. If elections were held now, some believe he’d perform poorly in a head-to-head against leaders like former commander-in-chief Valerii Zaluzhnyi.

Alternatively, choosing to step down willingly after serving one term might safeguard his legacy as the leader who brought the nation together during its most challenging times.

What are the risks? If he hesitates—delays institutional reforms, suppresses dissent, or delays elections indefinitely—he risks alienating both domestic civic society and international allies. EU accession prospects, Western aid, and Ukraine’s legitimacy hinge on adherence to democratic benchmarks.

In parallel, relinquishing power prematurely or seeming divided might jeopardize the unity necessary for effective wartime cooperation. Achieving the appropriate balance between decisive leadership and responsible governance represents his most subtle obstacle.

Can Zelenskyy orchestrate a revival? The opportunity is limited yet accessible. Rebuilding of anti-corruption bodies, stabilizing the economy, and transparent leadership objectives could help him regain control of the discourse. To achieve this, he must transition from ideological populism to practical diplomacy and reform.

As Ukraine confronts an intensifying Russian offensive, weak points at home could become strategic vulnerabilities. Solid governance reinforces both internal stability and international confidence.

Whether Zelenskyy recovers hinges on his willingness to correct missteps, open institutions to scrutiny, and reaffirm Ukraine’s democratic identity. If successful, he may retain his place as the wartime figurehead who also honored democratic principles. If he fails, the legacy returns to prewar failings—seen as another chapter in Ukraine’s long struggle with sistema rather than a new beginning.

The next months will test whether Zelenskyy can transcend this crisis not just as a wartime leader, but as a statesman committed to democratic renewal in both war and peace.

By Kaiane Ibarra

Related Posts